The second floor of the Fourth Transformation in Mexico. Conditioning factors and short-term perspectives.

Abstract

The consolidation of the second floor of the Fourth Transformation in Mexico has manifested itself as a result of the relative weakening of the opposition and the positive impact of the administration of the outgoing president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, on the economy and the social welfare of the citizenry. The victory of Claudia Sheinbaum, from the Morena party, over the traditional opposition, was an expression of the change in the correlation of forces in the Mexican political map and the support of most of the electorate for the Fourth Transformation. The electoral process strengthened Morena's position, while the opposition was weakened by internal disputes and the lack of a convincing proposal. The election results demonstrated popular support for the president-elect and the existence of a solid parliamentary base, elements that could facilitate the radicalization of the project initiated by López Obrador. In this context, a future Morenista government is perceived that, as a trend, should continue towards the left.